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We're Mired in an Up-and-Down Market

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist

2/6/2008 1:59 PM EST
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The market never seems to want to hang out at one level. We either get a rumor-punctuated downdraft, typically based on a financial rumor that has credence because there is so much out there; or we get a sense that the Fed could do something intra-day, and we take things up.

Very rarely is the market moving on earnings. It would be so easy, for example, to say, "I just heard that Ambac (ABK - commentary - Cramer's Take) caused an emergency meeting with the insurance commissioner." Who could think that's positive? Or how about a Fed governor who says he is "quite concerned" about the new down leg off of the ISM service number -- would you want to be short?

Every now and then, the market gets levered to an earnings report. We liked Time Warner (TWX - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Disney (DIS - commentary - Cramer's Take), both of which showed little economic sensitivity, so the bulls could make a case of "the recession won't be that bad, because if it were, these two companies would see it" and do some buying. But that's not sustainable for a full day, and it is too easy for the sellers simply to come back on talk that there's no bottom in housing and some group of CDO Squared -- a bunch of BBB-rated bonds grouped together -- is about to be downgraded, which could really hurt Merrill Lynch (MER - commentary - Cramer's Take).

That's the market we are in. I would not trust it when it's higher. That's been a sucker's game.

When it's down 200 or more, though, that's been a great point.

Sit on your hands.

There's not much cooking.

At the time of publication, Cramer had no positions in the stocks mentioned.




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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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