DOW
loading...
NASDAQ
loading...
S&P
loading...




Action Alerts PLUS
RealMoney Silver
Top Gun Trader
Stocks Under $10
Options Alerts
Top Stocks
View All


Now, enjoy the good life every day!

RSSRSS FEEDS
PODPODCASTS


RealMoney.com: Earnings Power
Print This Story

Sanderson Farms' Positives Outweigh Negatives

By Hewitt Heiserman
RealMoney.com Contributor

1/22/2004 10:36 AM EST
 
 Sanderson Farms (SAFM:Nasdaq) BULLISH
Price: $41.85  |  52-Week Range: $18.05-$44.90
  • There's a lot to like about this small-cap.
  • The avian flu is an unpredictable risk factor.
  • I plan to buy more when flu season ends.
Position: Long



Sanderson Farms (SAFM - commentary - Cramer's Take), a small-cap chicken processor with $872 million in sales, stands to benefit from a protein-hungry nation. So argues Jon Markman in a recent column that appeared on TheStreet.com's flagship Web site.

Intrigued by this thesis, I ran the company's numbers through my Five-Minute Test, and it passed with flying colors. Next, I searched the RealMoney and Street Insight archives and found that no one on had written an in-depth column on this business. A fresh idea! Another plus.

So I printed the last five years' worth of 10-Ks and the latest proxy, then crunched the numbers through my spreadsheet. Here's what I like about the company, in order of importance.

  1. Revenue growth. For the four years ended Oct. 31, 2003, revenue has risen 12%, 17%, 7% and 20%, respectively.

  2. No customer concentration. Sanderson's largest customer accounted for 11.7% of sales last year.

  3. High-quality accrual profit. The company has produced defensive and enterprising profit for the past three years.


    Profit Quality
    Here's how it breaks down

    (I'll address a bit later why the company lost money in 2000.)

  4. Forging an Earnings Power Staircase. What's more, Sanderson moved in an upper-right direction last year, the hallmark of profitable growth.


    Climbing Higher
    The staircase is forming

    (To learn more about the Earnings Power Chart, check out my just-released book It's Earnings That Count.)

  5. Low price-to-earnings ratio. At $41, the company has a trailing P/E ratio of just 10.

  6. Low price-sales ratio. It's just 0.6.

  7. High cash-on-cash return. Defensive profit last year totaled $53 million. Given a current market value of $538 million, that gives you a price-defensive profit ratio of 10.7 and a defensive yield of 9.4%. (The defensive yield is the reciprocal of the price-defensive profit ratio.) This high return compares favorably with the five-year Treasury yield of 3.06%.

  8. Strengthening balance sheet. Net debt is falling, at just $24 million now vs. $159 million a few years back.

  9. Credit risk appears nil. Normalized (i.e., four-year average) defensive profit is $27 million. With $24 million of net debt, management can repay its loans in less than a year. Sanderson's Z-score also looks impressive. Created by Professor Edward Altman of the Stern School of Business at New York University, the Z-score is a predictor of financial bankruptcy. According to Altman's research, a company that scores above 3.0 is considered safe. Sanderson's Z-score is 7.7 based on its latest 10-K.

  10. Clean financials. The company's CFO, Michael Cockrell, tells me there are no restatements or write-offs in the last 10 years. Excellent.

  11. Positive tangible book value. This is corporate book value minus goodwill and other intangibles. The amount: a solid $197 million.

  12. High -- and improving -- returns on capital. Returns are 8%, 13%, 11% and 23%, respectively, for the four years ending fiscal 2003.

  13. Rising dividend. Also, the current dividend yield is 1.18%.

  14. Stock-based compensation. Just $60,000 on $54 million of accrual profit (net income). This low ratio of stock-based compensation to accrual profit means outside stockholders are not being diluted.

  15. Stock buybacks. Share count is down 7% in the last four years. What's more, these buybacks were made at lower prices.

  16. Name-brand auditor. Sanderson received a "clean" opinion from Ernst & Young, which is especially important when you are dealing with small-cap firms.

  17. Owner-operators. Insiders own 69% of the company, according to Yahoo! Finance. Based on the firm's current market value, senior management has $364 million invested in the business. If you suffer, the folks running the company also will suffer.

  18. Low institutional ownership. Respected fund managers like Royce & Co. and Dimensional Fund Advisors own 30% of the company. Low institutional ownership is desirable, because as Sanderson grows other funds will want to buy the stock. This upward pressure will help boost the stock price.

  19. Low short ratio. Shares short are just 1.2% of the float. A high short ratio -- say, more than 10% -- might be cause for concern.

  20. Mundane business. The company processes, markets and distributes fresh and frozen chicken and other prepared foods. There is no risk of product obsolescence.

  21. Americans are eating more chicken. Per capita consumption in the U.S. over the last four decades has increased, as data from these key years show:

    1960, 28 lbs.
    1970, 40 lbs.
    1980, 48 lbs.
    1990, 62 lbs.
    2002, 82 lbs.

    The trend is your friend.

  22. Growing market share. Sanderson is the sixth-largest poultry producer in the country, behind Tyson (TSN - commentary - Cramer's Take), Pilgrim's Pride (PPC - commentary - Cramer's Take), Purdue, Gold Kist and Wayne Farms. Also, Sanderson has a 3% market share, about double from a decade ago.

  23. Employee relations appear good. Many positives here. The CFO tells me there have been no strikes since the mid-1970s. Also, an official from the Occupational Safety & Health Administration (OSHA) describes the plants as safe places to work. Meanwhile, full-time employees are eligible to participate in the company-sponsored employee stock ownership plan and 401(k) plan. Last, Sanderson has a day-care facility at one of its plants that cares for 240 children. It's the finest in the state, according to the company's Web site. This tells me the company put some thought into the child care operation, which means (theoretically, at least) happier parents and more motivated employees, a stronger corporate culture, etc.

Go to NEXT PAGE


 RELATED STORIES

Earnings Power
Cognizant's Shine Starts to Lose Its Luster
10/30/2003 11:30 AM EST
A closer look at the company's earnings power reveals some cause for concern.



At the time of publication, Heiserman was long Sanderson, although positions may change at any time. Hewitt Heiserman conceived the Earnings Power Chart, Earnings Power Box and Earnings Power Staircase. A financial analyst for the past 15 years, Heiserman is a member of the Boston Security Analyst Society and the Association for Investment Management and Research. He also authored It's Earnings That Count, a book published by McGraw-Hill. For additional information, please visit www.earningspower.com. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Heiserman appreciates your feedback and invites you to send it to hewitt.heiserman@thestreet.com.

TheStreet.com has a revenue-sharing relationship with Amazon.com under which it receives a portion of the revenue from Amazon purchases by customers directed there from TheStreet.com.

Write us!
Order reprints of TSC articles. Top



Brokerage Partners


Investor Relations | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | Conflicts Policy | Corrections | Internet Index | Advertise | FAQ
Site Map | Who's Who | Reader Feedback | Employment | Contact Us
RSSSubscribe to our RSS Feed
© 1996- TheStreet.com, Inc. All rights reserved.
TheStreet.com's enterprise databases running Oracle are professionally monitored and managed by Pythian Remote DBA.