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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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Mapping a Countrywide Mile

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist

4/16/2007 3:46 PM EDT
Click here for more stories by Jim Cramer
 

Let's go right into the lion's den.



Do you, in light of the repackaging of Fremont General's (FMT - commentary - Cramer's Take) loans, buy Countrywide Financial (CFC - commentary - Cramer's Take) at 8 times earnings? What if its earnings are only slightly impaired by subprime mortrgages -- how bad can it be? Do you leg in? Do you consider how many people are short this alleged proxy for subprime?

We know that there were several suitors of this company at one point, and it was clear that Merrill (MER - commentary - Cramer's Take) wanted it. What if Fremont's ability to sell loans makes you believe that the shakeout is so far along and the margins on these loans are improving so fast -- a theory that Annaly (NLY - commentary - Cramer's Take), for the record, would disagree with -- that you need to take share right now?

It's a far-out idea, but just how far-out in light of the deal for Sallie Mae (SLM - commentary - Cramer's Take)? How far out after the collapse of 20 players in the group and the impairment of so many others?

How often have you been hurt by buying something with an 8-multiple?

Not that often.

At the time of publication, Cramer had no positions in stocks mentioned.






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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. Click here to order Cramer's latest book, "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order his book, "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get his second book, "You Got Screwed!" and click here to order Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he invites you to send comments on his column by clicking here.

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