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RealMoney.com: Economy
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More Focus on Jobs: Economic First Look

By Michael McDonough
RealMoney Contributor

11/8/2009 10:39 AM EST
Click here for more stories by Michael McDonough
 
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Although the second week in November will be relatively quiet on the data front and will be split in two by the Veteran's Day holiday on Wednesday, it will still offer some interesting news on the economy.

 
The week's most interesting piece of data is likely to be the Federal Reserve's Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey. Although the survey has no official release date, it tends to be published early in the week following the week of an FOMC meeting. Investors will be turning to the report for indications of improvements in the credit and commercial real estate markets.

Investors also will get more chances to hear from Fed officials, as they return to the speaking circuit after this week's FOMC meeting.

Other important news next week will include September's international trade data, October's import and export prices indices and November's preliminary consumer sentiment index, all due for release on Friday.

There will also be much scrutiny of Thursday's jobless claims release, following this past Friday's worse-than-anticipated employment report. As I mentioned Thursday, now that third-quarter earnings are winding down, the primary catalyst for U.S. equity markets over the remainder of the year is likely to be a tepid recovery in the U.S. labor market. That puts added emphasis on any jobs-related data.

On the political front, the House of Representatives passed its version of health care reform late Saturday, and investors will be watching the reaction to that news. Elsewhere, President Obama will make his first trip as chief executive to Asia. His China visit may grab some attention, particularly after the government's recently imposed tariff on Chinese tires.

Lastly, Kraft (KFT - commentary - Trade Now) has a deadline of 17:00 GMT Monday to make an official offer for Cadbury (CBY - commentary - Trade Now). Otherwise, it will be forced to walk away for at least six months.

Although earnings reports are tailing off, the market will hear from one important name: Wal-Mart (WMT - commentary - Trade Now) plans to report its third quarter on Thursday.

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At the time of publication, McDonough had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Michael McDonough is an independent research consultant in North America and Asia. Over the past two years, he has advised hedge funds, central banks, broker-dealers and corporations on a range of economic and financial issues. He is also the creator of Fiat Economics, a global financial/economics blog. McDonough has worked on Wall Street as an economist, specializing in the U.S. and Latin America.



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