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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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The Key Stocks Again Drive the Market

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney Columnist

11/3/2009 2:29 PM EST
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As always, if we get a turn in the hated stocks of the day, we get something explosive, which is why I endlessly key off of certain stocks.

 
Take Apple (AAPL - commentary - Trade Now). This stock hit $186 not that long ago as stops got taken out, ETFs it belongs to got forced down and we heard more negatives about the iPhone. And then boom, it shoots up 3. Google's (GOOG - commentary - Trade Now) rallied 8 points off its bottom.

In the meantime, Wells Fargo (WFC - commentary - Trade Now) and Goldman (GS - commentary - Trade Now) have turned up.

So, amazingly, in the span of an hour, the two wobbly legs -- tech and banks -- join oil going higher.

That's what's so difficult about the market. That's what's so curious about the piece I did today on the ease of being a bear -- the one where I tongue-in-cheek said you should just sell everything.

Suddenly we have a situation where the shorts are momentarily overrun and the longs have a chance to make money.

Now, again, I think that this market's crummy. But I have been quietly putting money to work in these dips, not because I expect a quick turn, but because I simply don't care about these daily commodity-like selloffs. I use them to pick at stocks that wouldn't be down if it weren't for the dollar/gold/oil conundrum.

The area I am digging deep on right now is tech, because now that I have read the Morgan Stanley analyst's report, I think it's dead wrong. Intel's (INTC - commentary - Trade Now) down 2½ dollars from when it reported. That makes no sense to downgrade now. Nvidia (NVDA - commentary - Trade Now)? How can that come off the list down here? Why did he like it to begin with? ON Semi (ONNN - commentary - Trade Now) is totally related to a turn in the economy, and that comes off the list? Its business is smoking. I am not buying this report.

But we see the fallacy of betting against the market as a whole and we see the problematic nature of relying on the gold/dollar/oil troika when we get a reversal in a couple of key stocks.

Literally, just a few stocks control this market. You only need to have a half-dozen on your screen to figure this stuff out: JPMorgan (JPM - commentary - Trade Now), GOOG, AAPL, GS, WFC, Chevron (CVX - commentary - Trade Now), Schlumberger (SLB - commentary - Trade Now) and Bank of America (BAC - commentary - Trade Now). Those really tell everything you need about what's happening and what's going to happen.

Man, is this market stupid.

Random musings: I bounced "sell sell sell" off more people today, and in each case people afforded me the respect they give Roubini. It felt so good, even as the market turned. I can't believe the fantastic reception I am getting to my "sell everything" call, even though I don't believe in it. So sweet. I can see how people fall prey to its seduction. I am getting people to respect me. It's cool as all get-out!

At the time of publication, Cramer was long Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo and Chevron.


Special note from Jim: You can learn my time-tested ways to trade smart, even in this market. All my latest thinking is in my brand-new book, Getting Back to Even, which I'll send to you as part of a special promotion when you sign up for my Action Alerts PLUS service for a limited time. So if you sign up now, you'll get to see how I'm playing these stocks in my portfolio today, plus, I'll teach you how you can play these stocks to help your portfolio get back to even.

Cramer's Upcoming Book Signings

Tuesday, Nov. 17, 7 p.m. Barnes & Noble, Manhattan (33 East 17th St.)





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Keep an eye on the industrial group, which seems to be picking up the slack.



Jim Cramer is co-founder and chairman of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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