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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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Homebuilders Will Keep Sinking Into the Ground

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist

7/8/2008 11:23 AM EDT
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Still they won't merge. Still they refuse to rationalize. Still their egos remain big. Still they pay off Washington for what they want.

 
The homebuilders. A relentless spiral down finally repeals all of the gains since the housing boom started. We are back to 2002. All of those wonderful wins for those buy-and-hold lovers are now gone. The stocks are in tatters. Every fund-raising and capital-raising and lender rollover has meant absolutely nothing.

But like the major banks, they are all still standing. People still have fresh capital to speculate on a bottom in Lennar (LEN - commentary - Cramer's Take) or Pulte (PHM - commentary - Cramer's Take) or D.R. Horton (DHI - commentary - Cramer's Take). I still see people believing that this is the right level to take a stab at Hovnanian (HOV - commentary - Cramer's Take).

It never ends.

I do believe there will be a bottom in these stocks when they consolidate or when the most overextended candidates at last go belly-up. I really can't believe that Hovnanian is still in existence, or that Standard Pacific (SPF - commentary - Cramer's Take) got a capital infusion. How can Lennar still be paying a dividend north of 5%? Where is that analyst who tried to call the bottom last week? What happened to him?

Yeah, this group is just awful, and the end of the personal mortgage industry -- signified by the incredible shrinking PMI Group (PMI - commentary - Cramer's Take)/MGIC Investment (MTG - commentary - Cramer's Take) and the immolation of Freddie Mac (FRE - commentary - Cramer's Take)/Fannie Mae (FNM - commentary - Cramer's Take) explains a ton.

Now I see the Senate is trying to get a housing bill done. I have no doubt, given the money the homebuilders have spent, that they will get their way and still be able to build homes instead of vanishing into the ether as we need them to.

It's a disgrace.

But it's the American way. Of housing death.

At the time of publication, Cramer had no positions in stocks mentioned.






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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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