|
TheStreet Mobile |
MainStreet |
StockPickr |
BankingMyWay |
Jim Cramer |
Doug Kass |
Don Dion's ETFs |
Try Action Alerts PLUS - FREE
Sorry that you couldn't find the page you wanted.Here are a couple of ways that can help you find that information successfully.Content Search: Quote Search: (Stocks, ETFs, Mutual Funds) TheStreet Directory
More From TheStreetLatest Headlines |
|
Commentary: Momentum Trading *New* Alerts! Please click here...
Yikes, what a market! Many traders view the economic outlook as uncertain, and the market is reacting to this fear. One day up, the next day down, the next day up. This is one of the most difficult markets to learn and trade. The level of trader apprehension is high, and it's affecting the way stocks react. The only way to win is to be on the right side of the market more than on the wrong side, and to follow your disciplined trading programs. On July 18, I was watching Veritas (VRTS:Nasdaq - news - commentary), a data-storage software maker, because it met earnings estimates but warned of slower future earnings. Normally this type of news whacks a stock pretty hard, but sets up a perfect "dumper" play like I described in Dumpers -- Making Money on a Bad Story. Remember, a dumper stock is one that drops more than 20% from the previous day's close on "mediocre" bad news. I try to avoid dumpers that are caused by news so devastating that it would cause them to delist, such as fraud, investigations or bankruptcies. The Street always overreacts to bad news; I play the bounce once the Street digests the news and determines it isn't really that bad. Not always, but a good percentage of the time, a dumper will gap down (open lower than the previous day's close), dip slightly just after the open, then bounce. I try to catch this first bounce. ![]() As you can see from the chart above, the Nasdaq also gapped down a bit more than 20 points, from 2067.35 to 2035.09, having an additional impact on Veritas. ![]() Looking at its chart, we can see that Veritas closed on July 17 at $50.42 and gapped down with the general market a bit less than 10 points, opening at $40.82 on July 18. I was expecting Veritas to dip slightly at the open, then bounce, and then follow the general market. ![]() Veritas opened at $40.82, dipped as expected to $40.38 at 9:31 a.m. EDT, then bounced. I was ready for this entry and caught the bottom. When buying dried up on the way up at 09:34 a.m. when it hit $41.30, I should have exited, but didn't. I held on because the overall market was still heading up. I finally exited as the stock broke down at 9:44 a.m. at $41.10 for a bit under a 0.75 point gain. The stock then did a vertical drop until 9:59 a.m. EDT, when it hit $38.82. When it dropped below the premarket support level of $40.00, I expected it to turn into what I call a multi-bottom dumper. I treat each of the interim bottoms on the way down as scalps once a stock turns into a multi-bottom dumper, because they turn on a dime and continue lower a good percentage of the time. I was ready for the second bottom at 9:59 a.m. and waited for the selling to slow and buying to come in. I was very quick to enter the trade when it hit $38.82, but exited just as quickly when the buying dried up (and abruptly changed direction at $39.95). The top was too quick for me and I didn't exit until it dropped to $39.80 for a little more than a one-point gain. Then it started an even steeper drop when it hit its real bottom at 10:23 a.m., bouncing off $36.60. I was waiting for this bottom but missed the entry point and elected not to chase. Chasing a multi-bottomed dumper can be dangerous, so I elected to sit it out. I missed out on a two-point rise before it broke down again. Many traders don't mess with multi-bottomed dumpers, and I recommend only experienced traders attempt them because of the often quick and severe reversals. In this type of jumpy market, I try them because that is all the market is offering. They're tricky, but worth a shot if you're quick and can anticipate the stock's pattern. I am still waiting for the return of
"cheapies,"
but will take whatever I can get in this market. Happy hunting!
![]()
Ken Wolff is founder and chief executive officer of Paradise, Calif.-based MTrader.com, a daytrading and swingtrading Web site. This column provides general information about momentum trading. TheStreet.com has no affiliation with MTrader.com, and no endorsement of MTrader.com or momentum trading is intended. While Wolff cannot provide investment advice or recommendations here, he invites you to send your feedback to Ken Wolff.
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
![]()
|
Content Search:
Quote Search:
(Stocks, ETFs, Mutual Funds)
TheStreet Directory
| Dow Jones | S&P 500 | NASDAQ | 10-Year Note | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10,309.92 | 1,091.49 | 2,138.44 | 32.31 |
Oil *
77.12
|
|
DOWN
154.48
|
DOWN
19.14
|
DOWN
37.61
|
DOWN
0.48
|
10 Yr
3.23%
SPDR Gold
115.06
|
|
-1.48%
|
-1.72%
|
-1.73%
|
-1.46%
|
Data delayed 20 minutes |