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Why would these plans bring about higher prices? Because with the exception of PNC, all of these banks act as if any minute there will be a gigantic offering and no one wants to get caught having bought some ahead of the offerings. I can't blame them. These offerings have often gotten done down 20% from where they are announced but then once the deal is priced they fly. With the overhang of the TARP, no one wants to take a chance that Wells Fargo, for example, is going to issue 25 million shares to get the job done the day after they buy it. So the buyers wait and the sellers don't sell because they figure they can just buy more or they believe the assurances that there will not be deals at these prices. By getting the government out of the stocks, the companies will be trusted and their coffers can begin to build again. They have been reluctant to do it in part because they think their stocks are too low. But that's a Mexican standoff. With the exception of PNC, which reported spectacular earnings, the earnings these other banks have put up aren't good enough to budge the sidelined bank investors. But Treasury's insistence will chance all of that. This group's been horrible now for months, even as residential real estate has improved in the hardest hit areas and many credit indicators have turned positive. One has to presume that it's the TARP money secondaries that have crushed the valuations.
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