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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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Conventional Wisdom Isn't So Wise

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney Columnist

11/19/2009 2:19 PM EST
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I have heard it a dozen times today -- "the long-awaited correction." I cannot believe that everyone who is asked whether we are now having the "long-awaited correction" has given us variations of "yes," "absolutely" and "of course." The uniformity of the "long-awaited correction" conventional wisdom may actually doom the notion of anything major happening, as too many people are expecting it.

First, amazingly, no one is even thinking that some of the decline today could be related to options expiration. Other than the semiconductor downgrade, there's very little bad news out there. Limited (LTD - commentary - Trade Now) and Ross Stores (ROST - commentary - Trade Now) reported great numbers and outlooks, as did Phillips Van Heusen (PVH - commentary - Trade Now) and NetApp (NTAP - commentary - Trade Now). We did have a momentary slip in the Baltic Freight, but it has been straight up for some time. Oil's down, but we've held the range for so long I can't believe we can get a freak-out every time it happens ... although that trade seems endless.

I don't think the health care compromise can cause much damage. I know the payroll number wasn't under 500,000, but it came pretty darned close.

As I said in a "Wall Street Confidential" video this morning, we do have multiple reasons to take profits. I think we are having a round of profit-taking coupled with a rebalancing of the week ahead of expiration.

I do not think that we are having the "long-awaited correction," which I presume means something in a range of 7% to 10%.

So much for conventional wisdom?

At the time of publication, Cramer had no positions in the stocks mentioned.


Special note from Jim: You can learn my time-tested ways to trade smart, even in this market. All my latest thinking is in my brand new book, Getting Back to Even, which I'll send to you as part of a special promotion when you sign up for my Action Alerts PLUS service for a limited time. So if you sign up now, you'll get to see how I'm playing these stocks in my portfolio today, plus, I'll teach you how you can play these stocks to help your portfolio get back to even.

Cramer's Upcoming Book Signings

Tuesday, Dec. 8, 7-9 p.m. Barnes & Noble, White Plains (230 Main Street)





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Jim Cramer is co-founder and chairman of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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