Cash as a Percentage of Mutual Fund Portfolios

 

Cash as a Percentage of Mutual Fund Portfolios
Source: Investment Company Institute

Cash as a percentage of assets in mutual fund portfolios dropped modestly during March, according to figures released Monday afternoon by the Investment Company Institute. Cash dropped to 5.8% in March, down from the February figure of 5.9%. In November, cash as a percentage of mutual fund portfolios reached a three-year high of 6.5%.

The stock market's drop in March, on top of the drop in February, doesn't seem to have encouraged fund managers to deploy some of the cash they've been raising over the past several months.

During February the Nasdaq fell 14.5%, the Dow dropped 5.9% and the S&P 500 slumped 6.4%.

Why This Metric Matters
This figure shows the percentage of assets under management that equity mutual fund managers have in cash or cash equivalents like money market funds. When this number rises, it indicates that money managers are growing cautious. That's typically bad news short term -- as money managers are reluctant to spend that cash on equities.

But it's often seen as a positive for the market looking out a little further, as managers can be expected eventually to use that cash to load up on stocks. So, short term, rising cash levels can be seen as a negative. Longer term, it's a potential positive.

Consider this: In October 1990, cash levels reached nearly 13%. The market rallied sharply right after that: The S&P 500 s&p500 bottomed that month but was trading almost 30% higher within a year. In March 2000, cash levels reached their lowest levels of the decade, just as the Nasdaq nasdaq and S&P 500 reached their all-time highs. Since then, the indices have fallen and cash levels in mutual funds have begun to rise.

How Often Updated on TSC
Monthly, near the end of the month for the prior month
Historical Info
The Investment Company Institute has been tracking this particular metric since 1970. During the '90s bull market, this metric recorded a high of 12.9% in October 1990. Its lowest point from the 1990s forward came in March 2000, when it sank to 4.1%. (See this related story for more historical info.)
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