Asia Drops Like a Stone

Asian markets took Wall Street's overnight lead and plunged in trading Wednesday, as a wave of short selling hit Hong Kong, where the Hang Seng dropped its most in one day since Sept. 11, 2001.

The Hang Seng plummeted 1,386 points, or 5.4%, to 24,450. China's Shanghai Composite Index tumbled 153 points, or 2.8%, to 5290, and the Nikkei dropped to a 26-month low of 468 points, or 3.4%, to 13,504.

China Watch: Studying EDU

"What's bad on the Hang Seng is the dip below last November low of 25,862 points," says Andrew To, head of research and sales at Taifook Securities in Hong Kong. "The final support level to keep the market from extreme bearishness now is 23,400 -- that level can be taken as the dividing line between a bull and a bear market."

Other dealers said that the new support level for the Hang Seng was 24,200, and below that, 22,380. They pointed out that there was aggressive short selling activity by hedge funds, in particular in Hong Kong Exchanges(HKXCF Quote), which dived 7%, to HK$172.

Other big victims of the sell-off were China Life Insurance(LFC Quote), which lost 7.6%, to HK$33.45, PetroChina(PTR Quote), down 6.14%, to HK$11.92, and Cathay Pacific(CPCAY Quote), off 5.3%, to HK$18.60.

China Life Insurance is now down more than 20% since the beginning of the year. PetroChina suffered as crude oil declined 1%, to $90.09 a barrel by the end of the Asian trading session, while a large Japanese hedge fund was reportedly selling Cathay Pacific heavily.

Among property stocks, increasing speculation in Hong Kong that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates early couldn't hold back profit taking, as the stocks have recently been hitting all-time highs. Conglomerate Hutchison(HUWHY Quote) slipped 4.2%, to HK$79.40, and Cheung Kong(CHEUY Quote) fell further, down 4.8%, to HK$129.20. Hang Lung Properties(HLPPY Quote) dipped 2.8%, to HK$30.10.

Most telcos were heavily sold, as these momentum favorites were some of the biggest gainers previously. China Mobile(CHL Quote) and China Unicom(CHU Quote) both shed 5%, to HK$118.50, and HK$16.60, respectively. China Netcom(CN Quote) lost 3.3%, to HK$23.65, but China Telecom(CHA Quote) held up, losing just 1%, to HK$6.11, as investors were reluctant to bet against what they think may be the new winner in the industry's mainland restructuring process.

Despite the heavy selling, which followed a dip of 4% on Tuesday, many expect a sharp rebound in the Hang Seng soon, and say that in particular Hong Kong Exchanges may rise as much as 10%, to HK$190, as funds are forced to cover deep short positions.

Rumors were also circling that China Development Bank may have rejected a $2 billion investment offer in Citigroup(C Quote) because the bank is waiting for a further discounted price. Turnover on the exchange was at a two month high of HK$145.1 billion, or $18.6 billion.

"The focus will now be on U.S. interest rate cuts, and [if they are deep] that will be the buying excuse," says Conita Hung, head of equities at Delta Asia Financial in Hong Kong.

Hung also added that if Citigroup can successfully complete a quick share sale stateside that would also be a key driver for a rebound in the Hang Seng.

In China, Shanghai's index was dragged down by PetroChina and China Shenhua Energy(CUAEF Quote) which combined, comprise 24% of the weighting in the market. PetroChina "A" shares fell 2%, to 29.66 yuan, while China Shenhua Energy tumbled 5%, to 63.92 yuan.

In Japan, the yen rallied to 106.22 vs. the dollar, from 107.63 in Tuesday's trading. The hardest hit stocks in Japan were the star performers of 2007, including Nintendo(NTDOY Quote), which plunged 8.5% to 54,000 yen, Sony(SNE Quote), which dived 6.8% to 5510 yen and Kobe Steel(KBSTY Quote) lost 6.3%, to 326 yen.

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