Economic Wheels Continue to Slow, GDP Shows

02/28/01 - 10:12 AM EST

TSC Staff

(Updated from 8:34 a.m.)

As if we needed any more proof, preliminary figures for the gross domestic product grossdomesticproduct confirm the economic wheels are slowing dramatically. The economy grew by only 1.1% in the fourth quarter, slightly better than the 1% rate expected by economists.

The figure, however, is lower than the 1.4% growth rate flagged in the advance report of fourth-quarter GDP that had been released earlier. GDP -- the output of goods and services produced in the U.S. -- has slowed sharply from 5.6% in the second quarter of 2000.

But there was good news in the report on the inflation front. The price index, an important inflation measure, was revised down for the quarter to 1.9%. Economists were expecting it to remain at 2.1%, on par with the advance estimate, but up from 1.6% in the third quarter.

The impact of this number on the market may be limited since the earlier "advance" estimate was released last month. Plus, most of the data used to calculate this number has already been issued.

The report is unlikely to change Federal Reserve federalreserve Chairman Alan Greenspan's alangreenspan testimony to the House Financial Services Committee, which kicked off at 9:30 a.m. EST. He has already revised his remarks from the speech he gave two weeks ago to the peer committee in the Senate and is showing more concern about the economy. Investors are eagerly awaiting word that the Fed will again cut interest rates to kick the economy back into growth mode.

Also factoring into the latest economic mix is the release of the February Chicago Purchasing Managers Index chicagopurchasingmanagersindex. The index hit 43.2, up from 40.2 in January, but still clearly in contraction mode. It serves as a barometer for factory-sector expansion -- a sector that has been on the decline for several months. Along with the Philly Fed Index philadelphiafedindex, it is considered a good gauge of what to expect from the important PMI purchasingmanagersindex. TheStreet.com has been tracking the latest economic releases and their impact on the markets.

Today's Economic Data

  • 8:30 a.m.: Gross domestic product for Q4 preliminary. Source: Commerce Department. Actual: +1.1%. Forecast: +1.0%. Previous: +1.4%. Price index: Actual: 1.9%. Forecast: +2.1%. Previous: +2.1%.
  • 9 a.m.: Treasury buyback announcement buyback. Source: Bureau of the Public Debt. The Treasury announces the details of tomorrow's reverse auction.
  • 10 a.m.: Chicago Purchasing Managers Index chicagopurchasingmanagersindex for February. Source: National Association of Purchasing Management -- Chicago. Actual: 43.2. Forecast: N/A. Previous: 40.2.
  • 6:30 p.m.: Consumer Comfort Index consumercomfortindex for the week ended. Source: ABC News and Money Magazine. Forecast: N/A. Previous: 19.
  • Forecasts are from Reuters. Times are Eastern. For a longer-term economic calendar and more, see TheStreet.com's Economic Databank.

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