Breakout Stocks Alerts

Breakout Stocks

Action MELI

05/28/09 - 11:46 AM EDT

Adding Shares on Weakness

Shares of One-rated model portfolio holding MercadoLibre (MELI:Nasdaq) are trading lower today on no major company- specific news. We're going to use the weakness to add to our position, buying 100 shares after you receive this Alert. Shares were recently trading at $19.95, down about 3%.

The biggest recent news for MercadoLibre has been the temporary suspension of new listings on its TuCarro Web site. In an Alert on May 19, we noted that the Venezuelan government had been cracking down on car dealers in an effort to tighten its grip on car prices. The action had nothing to do with MercadoLibre; it was simply a matter of the government reinforcing its price control policies by targeting dealers who were looking to sell cars at above- market prices.

In an 8-K filed Wednesday, the company said the suspension has been lifted. Notes from analysts at Citigroup and Bank of America/Merrill Lynch were positive on the outcome, as the Venezuelan government allowed operations to resume with only a few modest disclosure requirements for MercadoLibre. TuCarro generates about one-quarter of the company's Venezuelan revenue, which works out to about 5% of total revenue. We believe the recent weakness in the stock is a result of investors trying to figure out how much of an impact the 19-day suspension will have on the next quarterly earnings announcement, which won't happen until sometime between late July and mid-August.

We expect shares of MercadoLibre to remain volatile, based on the speculative nature of the Latin American Internet market as well as the effects of currency fluctuations on near-term results. We initiated a relatively small initial position in April when shares were trading below $22, saying that we planned on adding to our stake if the momentum faded and shares fell back into the midteens. There's certainly the potential for the stock to trade lower if sentiment remains poor, but we're comfortable adding at the current level and still have room to increase our position size in the future.

As always, we will provide updates on any important company- specific news as soon as possible.

Regards, Larsen Kusick & the TSC Breakout Stocks Team

Send email to breakoutstocks@thestreet.com

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Bryan Ashenberg is a research analyst at TheStreet.com. TheStreet.com is a publisher. The author is restricted from owning individual securities other than stock or options in TheStreet.com. However, certain of TheStreet.com affiliates and employees may, from time to time, have long and short positions in, or buy or sell the securities, or derivatives thereof, of companies mentioned in TheStreet.com Breakout Stocks and may take positions inconsistent with the views expressed.

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