The unemployment rate rose from 4.8 to 5.1% in March, and nonfarm payroll employment continued to trend down (-80,000), the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported. Over the past three months, payroll employment declined by 232,000. On a year-over-year basis, total employment grew a meager 0.4%. If we get four more months at the current trend rate, and we'll be talking about year-over-year job losses.
Checking Into HospitalsHospitals were the second-fastest job growth industry at 13.7%, and job growth in this area passed statistical significance tests. Potential research candidates here include:
The Housing EffectEven the industries losing jobs may be worth considering, either as potential short candidates or places to identify where cost-cutting activity may begin to improve bottom lines. Probably not surprisingly, most of these industries are tied to housing. Significant job losses were felt in transportation equipment, building material and garden supply stores, furniture and home furnishing stores, furniture manufacturing and wood products. This trend would pertain to:
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At the time of publication, Trent was long Starbucks, although positions may change at any time.William A. Trent, CFA, is a freelance equity analyst based in the New York metro area. He has been an equity analyst since 1996 and is co-author of Understanding and Evaluating Prospectuses, Offering Documents, and Proxy Statements. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Trent appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.
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