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Salil's Most Recent Article

Buffett Performance Slipping, but Still Beats Most

04/01/14 - 02:30 PM EDT

Even great performers can sometimes underperform, and while Buffett has gotten worse lately, his underperformance overall is still at a smaller rate vs. most people.

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Warren Buffett's Underperformance and How to Make Sense of It Warren Buffett's Underperformance and How to Make Sense of It

03/14/14 - 01:08 PM EDT

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway underperformed the market for the past five years. What does it mean from a statistical perspective?

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Briefer economic cycles Briefer economic cycles

03/04/14 - 10:15 AM EST

We know from our statistical modeling that growth and risks can change per unit of time. We should adjust these cycle estimates to be less lengthy, or that they occur more frequently, then we generally see acknowledged while enjoying whatever benefits accrue from this economic recovery.

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Buffett and Chasing the Ever-Elusive Alpha Buffett and Chasing the Ever-Elusive Alpha

02/12/14 - 11:35 AM EST

In a rising market, it's easy to feel like a genius. But are you?

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Unknown Unknowns: Predicting Stock Trends Unknown Unknowns: Predicting Stock Trends

02/05/14 - 11:19 AM EST

Wall Street strategists have lowered their equity market forecasts from double-digit returns for 2013 to single-digit returns for 2014. Should you worry?

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Manufacturing's Lack of Confidence Manufacturing's Lack of Confidence

01/27/14 - 12:55 PM EST

According to the data, the U.S. has fared better than China over the past two years.

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Markets Will Tilt Downward in Early 2014 Markets Will Tilt Downward in Early 2014

01/13/14 - 09:08 AM EST

A technical analysis of the first seven days of trading in 2014 shows that the market may be in a downward trend.

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Looking at S&P 500 Drops Over Six Decades Looking at S&P 500 Drops Over Six Decades

01/08/14 - 09:56 AM EST

We scrutinize 16,000 trading days since 1950 for insights to market decline periods.

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The Economy's Tough Grind Forward The Economy's Tough Grind Forward

12/10/13 - 06:30 AM EST

After years of economic contraction and high unemployment, is a true recovery underway for workers?

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Fed Policy Has Contributed to Turnaround in Market Sentiment Fed Policy Has Contributed to Turnaround in Market Sentiment

12/02/13 - 06:14 PM EST

Growth, revenue and earnings have all been just OK throughout the year.

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