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Buffett Performance Slipping, but Still Beats Most

By Salil Mehta

Even great performers can sometimes underperform, and while Buffett has gotten worse lately, his underperformance overall is still at a smaller rate vs. most people.

02:30PM 04/01/14

Warren Buffett's Underperformance and How to Make Sense of It

By Salil Mehta

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway underperformed the market for the past five years. What does it mean from a statistical perspective?

01:08PM 03/14/14

Briefer economic cycles

By Salil Mehta

We know from our statistical modeling that growth and risks can change per unit of time. We should adjust these cycle estimates to be less lengthy, or that they occur more frequently, then we generally see acknowledged while enjoying whatever benefits accrue from this economic recovery.

10:15AM 03/04/14

Buffett and Chasing the Ever-Elusive Alpha

By Salil Mehta

In a rising market, it's easy to feel like a genius. But are you?

11:35AM 02/12/14

Unknown Unknowns: Predicting Stock Trends

By Salil Mehta

Wall Street strategists have lowered their equity market forecasts from double-digit returns for 2013 to single-digit returns for 2014. Should you worry?

11:19AM 02/05/14

Manufacturing's Lack of Confidence

By Salil Mehta

According to the data, the U.S. has fared better than China over the past two years.

12:55PM 01/27/14

Markets Will Tilt Downward in Early 2014

By Salil Mehta

A technical analysis of the first seven days of trading in 2014 shows that the market may be in a downward trend.

09:08AM 01/13/14

Looking at S&P 500 Drops Over Six Decades

By Salil Mehta

We scrutinize 16,000 trading days since 1950 for insights to market decline periods.

09:56AM 01/08/14

The Economy's Tough Grind Forward

By Salil Mehta

After years of economic contraction and high unemployment, is a true recovery underway for workers?

06:30AM 12/10/13

Fed Policy Has Contributed to Turnaround in Market Sentiment

By Salil Mehta

Growth, revenue and earnings have all been just OK throughout the year.

06:14PM 12/02/13

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