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Salil Mehta


Salil Mehta is a statistician and risk strategist, who has developed an engaging method to teach quantitative techniques. Salil has 17 years of experience, of which a dozen years were on Wall Street, performing proprietary trading and economic research for firms such as Salomon/Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley. He also served for two years in a leadership role, as the Director of Analytics, in the U.S. Department of the Treasury for the Administration's $700 billion TARP program. Salil is also the former Director of the Policy, Research, and Analysis Department in the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation. He completed a graduate degree in mathematical statistics from Harvard and also completed the Chartered Financial Analyst exams, as well as being a current dual candidate member of the Society of Actuaries. In addition to having lectured on probability and economics at a number of leading universities, Salil has authored academic articles. He currently provides advisory to the heads of several organizations, and he teaches graduate statistics at Rutgers on the weekends this year, in addition to current Georgetown teachings. Salil has also been acknowledged or on air interviewed and by a number of leading publications, such as the National Bureau of Economic Research, American Statistical Association, New York Times, CNBC, Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Barron's, CFA Institute, Tom Keene, Bloomberg, and Businessweek. He has also completed a statistics and analytics topics book, a working draft of which is available for Georgetown library users. His Statistical Ideas blog provides an interesting discussion of various statistical applications, and offers refresher presentations on the basics of probability and statistics. Also the site has been added to the syllabus of several leading universities.  You directly contact Salil and follow him on Facebook and Google+ and Skype (name: saliltreasury).

Salil Mehta
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Buffett Performance Slipping, but Still Beats Most

By Salil Mehta

Even great performers can sometimes underperform, and while Buffett has gotten worse lately, his underperformance overall is still at a smaller rate vs. most people.

02:30PM 04/01/14

Warren Buffett's Underperformance and How to Make Sense of It

By Salil Mehta

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway underperformed the market for the past five years. What does it mean from a statistical perspective?

01:08PM 03/14/14

Briefer economic cycles

By Salil Mehta

We know from our statistical modeling that growth and risks can change per unit of time. We should adjust these cycle estimates to be less lengthy, or that they occur more frequently, then we generally see acknowledged while enjoying whatever benefits accrue from this economic recovery.

10:15AM 03/04/14

Buffett and Chasing the Ever-Elusive Alpha

By Salil Mehta

In a rising market, it's easy to feel like a genius. But are you?

11:35AM 02/12/14

Unknown Unknowns: Predicting Stock Trends

By Salil Mehta

Wall Street strategists have lowered their equity market forecasts from double-digit returns for 2013 to single-digit returns for 2014. Should you worry?

11:19AM 02/05/14

Manufacturing's Lack of Confidence

By Salil Mehta

According to the data, the U.S. has fared better than China over the past two years.

12:55PM 01/27/14

Markets Will Tilt Downward in Early 2014

By Salil Mehta

A technical analysis of the first seven days of trading in 2014 shows that the market may be in a downward trend.

09:08AM 01/13/14

Looking at S&P 500 Drops Over Six Decades

By Salil Mehta

We scrutinize 16,000 trading days since 1950 for insights to market decline periods.

09:56AM 01/08/14

The Economy's Tough Grind Forward

By Salil Mehta

After years of economic contraction and high unemployment, is a true recovery underway for workers?

06:30AM 12/10/13

Fed Policy Has Contributed to Turnaround in Market Sentiment

By Salil Mehta

Growth, revenue and earnings have all been just OK throughout the year.

06:14PM 12/02/13

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