These days, every market watcher has an indicator to show you, some chart pattern or statistical threshold that predicted four of the last five market turns and just so happens to be flashing a warning sign right now.
After a year where equity call buyers could do no wrong, it would not be surprising to see some quarters where the only winners are gamma shorts, where the straddle jockeys and condor sellers and pickers-up of steamroller-threatened nickels are rewarded for taking risks.
The fundamental picture and working knowledge of the futures markets does matter to smaller investors.
This trade sells short-term puts to partially finance the purchase of longer-dated puts.
Futures and options traders both trade calendar spreads, but the phrase has a different meaning depending on which type of derivative you're using.
Every investor that makes decisions using fundamental or technical analysis is implicitly rejecting some form of this.
Several indicators suggest a more bearish outlook for the months ahead.
Understanding the pricing of gold and its impact to the economy is more significant than people might realize.
Doubts that Abe's unconventional economic policy would be able to stoke demand are starting to fade a little as higher inflation expectations are also starting to stick.
I don't own any shares yet, and these put premiums seem like a decent sale opportunity with a worst-case outcome of a new stock position.