Jackie Wilson would be smiling over this market: Investor love,
it seems, keeps lifting it higher and higher. The Dow even set a couple of new all-time highs this past week.
But let's not forget another Jackie Wilson line -- namely, "Quench my desire."
What could bring on the quenching of said desire by investors? It's not that lower-valued stocks like
Exxon Mobil and
Altria are poised for growth. Or that pricier ones, like old-king-log
Microsoft and problem-plagued drugmaker
Merck (MRK Quote), are navigating through foggier waters.
No, the more worrisome news from the past week came from a company
whose price-to-earnings ratio lies comfortably between both extremes:
IBM (IBM Quote).
On the face of it, this is an absurd claim. IBM's historical P/E is
15, yet its earnings are forecast to grow 11% in 2007 and 10% in 2008.
That's enough to lower its P/E to 14 based on this year's profits and
13 on next year's.
Considering that the Dow Jones Industrial Average's P/E is 17,
that's pretty good any way you slice it.
On Tuesday, IBM said first-quarter revenue grew 7% to $22 billion and net profit grew 12% to $1.21 a share, as Priya Ganapati
reported. That was in line with estimates. So investors, who tend not to get too overexcited about IBM, should have been happy.