Weekend Reading

12/31/06 - 02:53 PM EST

Paul Kedrosky

Happy New Year, and welcome to Weekend Reading. As always, I've scoured the Web for articles and papers worth reading. First, however, a look back at the week that just finished, and a look forward to the week ahead.

It was another upbeat week on the major markets, a suitable end to what turned out to be a standout year. This past week the Dow and the S&P 500 gained 1.0% and 0.5%, respectively, while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.6%. It has been a real rocket ride, at least over the past six months. Click here for the weekly performance.

All of the major U.S. indices ended the year having logged double-digit gains. What's more, all 10 major industry groups in the S&P 500 finished the year on a positive note. But keep in mind that even though that index turned in a 14.1% performance, you would have done even better had you ventured outside the U.S. For example, Morgan Stanley Capital's international all-country index was up 19% in 2006.

Is the new year set for more of the same? Certainly there is fairly uniform bullishness out there, with strikingly similar elements in various bullish theses: low interest rates, a possible midyear rate cut and a resurgent technology sector. There does seem to be ample reason to expect solid performance in 2007, although nothing like the numbers we saw this past year. It also is likely that gains will be much more sector-specific, with technology doing well but energy and commodities failing to match this year's gains.

As for the coming week, the economic indicators to watch include the Institute for Supply Management's December manufacturing index. The ISM has delayed its release until Wednesday morning in observance of the national day of mourning for President Ford on Tuesday, when the markets will be closed. On Friday, we'll get the December nonfarm payrolls report from the government.

Turning to earnings reports, it will be pretty much dead quiet. There are only two major companies reporting next week: Monsanto(GOOG Quote - Cramer on GOOG - Stock Picks) and Constellation Brands (STZ Quote - Cramer on STZ - Stock Picks).

Finally, here are some articles and papers worth reading:

Editor's note: To access some of these stories, registration or a subscription may be required. Please check the individual links for the site's policy.

At time of publication, Kedrosky had no positions in stocks mentioned, although holdings can change at any time.

Dr. Paul Kedrosky is a former highly ranked sell-side technology equity analyst, and he currently runs a technology finance institute at the University of California, San Diego. He is also a venture partner with Ventures West, an institutional venture capital firm with more than $400 million under management. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. While Kedrosky cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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