Economic Calendar: January 29-February 2

Time (EST) Indicator (click for definition) Source (click for press release) Actual Forecast Previous (revised) Previous (original) Monday, January 29 No releases. Tuesday, January 30 9 a.m. ICSC-UBS Weekly Chain Store Sales Snapshot for the week ended January 27 International Council of Shopping Centers and UBS -0.9% n.a. +0.1% +0.1% 9 a.m. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index for the week ended January 27, vs. December Redbook Research +2.7% n.a. +1.6% +1.6%* 10 a.m. Consumer Confidence Index for January Conference Board 110.3 110.0 110.0 109.0 Wednesday, January 31 8:30 a.m. Employment Cost Index for Q4 Labor Department +0.8% +1.0% +1.0% +1.0% 8:30 a.m. Gross domestic product for Q4 -- advance Commerce Department +3.5% +3.0% +2.0% +2.0% (Q3) Implicit price deflator +1.5% n.a. +1.9% +1.9% (Q3) 9 a.m. Federal Open Market Committee meeting Federal Reserve The Fed's monetary policymaking committee holds its first meeting of the year in Washington. Any change in monetary policy will be announced at around 2:10 p.m. 9 a.m. Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ended January 26 -- Market Composite Index Mortgage Bankers Association 631.3 n.a. 611.3 611.3 Purchase Index 408.0 n.a. 402.7 402.7 9 a.m. Consumer Comfort Index for the week ended January 28 ABC News and Washington Post -3 n.a. -3 -3 10 a.m. Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index for January National Association of Purchasing Management -- Chicago 48.8 52.0 51.6 51.6 10 a.m. Construction spending for December Census Bureau -0.4% 0.0% +0.1% -0.2% Thursday, February 1 8:30 a.m. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended January 27 Labor Department +307,000 +315,000 +327,000 +325,000 Four-week average +305,000 n.a. +309,000 +308,000 8:30 a.m. Personal income for December Commerce Department +0.5% +0.5% +0.3% +0.3% Consumption +0.7% +0.7% +0.5% +0.5% 10 a.m. ISM Index - Manufacturing for January Institute for Supply Management 49.3 51.5 51.4 51.4 Friday, February 2 8:30 a.m. Nonfarm payrolls for January Labor Department +111,000 +150,000 +206,000 +167,000 Average hourly earnings +0.2% +0.3% +0.4% +0.5% Unemployment rate +4.6% +4.5% +4.5% +4.5% Augmented unemployment rate +7.5% n.a. +7.2% +7.2% Pool of available workers 12M n.a. 11M 11M 9:45 a.m. Consumer Sentiment Index for January -- final University of Michigan 96.9 97.8 see actual 98.0 (January prelim.) -- 91.7 (December) 10 a.m. Factory orders for December Census Bureau +2.4% +1.8% +1.2% +0.9% 10:30 a.m. Weekly Leading Index for the week ended January 26 Economic Cycle Research Institute +4.7% n.a. +4.5% +4.5%

P-Preliminary forecast
*Month through previous Saturday, vs. prior month
Expectations as reported by Reuters

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