Active Trader Update
This column was originally published on RealMoney on March 6 at 9:21 a.m. EST. It's being republished as a bonus for TheStreet.com readers. For more information about subscribing to RealMoney, please click here. No doubt inadvertently, The Wall Street Journal has given us a fabulous checklist this morning to use when trying to isolate the subprime survivors from the catastrophes. Buried in the obituary for New CenturyNEW was this paragraph:
The lender now is plagued with a surge of bad loans, costly obligations to buy back bad loans already sold to investment banks and inadequate reserves. It also faces regulatory probes and shareholder allegations that its officers and directors sold shares at inflated prices. The company has said it is cooperating in the investigations.So, if we are looking for a bottom in one of these -- say IndyMacNDE, because that one's the most adamant that it shouldn't be lumped into the parade of horribles -- we need to see:
- No surge of bad loans
- No costly obligations to buy back loans
- Adequate reserves
- No regulatory probes
- No massive insider selling before the decline
Please note that due to factors including low market capitalization and/or insufficient public float, we consider New Century Financial to be a small-cap stock. You should be aware that such stocks are subject to more risk than stocks of larger companies, including greater volatility, lower liquidity and less publicly available information, and that postings such as this one can have an effect on their stock prices.
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