TheStreet.com TV Recap: How to Spot Bottoms

02/28/07 - 02:03 PM EST

TheStreet.com Staff

On TheStreet.com TV's Wall St. Confidential video Wednesday, Jim Cramer mused about some of his strategies for spotting a bottom a day after a market meltdown.

"There have been only two days in my 25-year trading career where you simply had to buy the next day, no matter what," he told Gregg Greenberg, the host of Wall St. Confidential. "We have to remember what history tells us here."

The first day was "Terrible Tuesday" during the crash of 1987, when the market was down 1,200 points. The second was in October 1997 during the "Asian contagion," Cramer said.

In the first case, the market's fall was because of a technical problem, a breakdown similar to the one the market had yesterday, Cramer said, and the second one was a recognition that Asia was not the U.S.

Players who wade into today's tape should want to be in a bifurcated portfolio: hit the stocks with 4% yields and the stocks that are selling below 10 times earnings, Cramer said.

"One third of the market bottoms immediately," he explained. "If there is an economic speed-up and this was a reaction to interest rates going higher and bonds going down, you would buy cyclicals."

However, because this is a situation in which interest rates are going down and the economy is softening, another group that might have bottomed here is the Procter & Gamble (PG Quote) contingent, Cramer said.

He believes Colgate (CL Quote), Clorox (CLX Quote), Campbell (CPB Quote), Kellogg (K Quote) and Altria (MO Quote) should all "work for now."

The second bottoming should be in the financials, Cramer said, which is why he has been trying to have people set up positions in the "dividend defensive" financials, and secondly, the more aggressive financials with "good yield or good book."

Editor's note: Jim posted several videos about the market today. Check them out by clicking on the links below.

How to Spot Market Bottoms

Bears Are Gaming the Buybacks

Check Out This Options Trade on Tech

Get Bullish on Broker Stocks

Buy the Soups, Soaps and Smokes

At the time of publication, Jim Cramer was long Altria.

Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. Click here to order Cramer's latest book, "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order his book, "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get his second book, "You Got Screwed!" and click here to order Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he invites you to send comments on his column by clicking here.

TheStreet.com has a revenue-sharing relationship with Traders' Library under which it receives a portion of the revenue from Traders' Library purchases by customers directed there from TheStreet.com.

Your Recent Quotes: Quote Up0 | Quote Down0
 
Dow S&P 500 NASDAQ
Oil*
65.43
8,280.74
896.42
1,796.52
10 Yr
3.50%
223.32
26.91
49.20
-2.63%
-2.91%
-2.67%
Data delayed 20 min
Get Jim Cramer's Free Newsletter

The Daily Booyah!
Get your daily dose of Cramer in your inbox.
Submit
We respect your privacy.

Premium Stock Ideas
Access Action Alerts Plus to find out Cramer's latest picks now!

Brokerage Partners