In Search of That Google-Like Glimmer
12/12/05 - 10:18 AM EST
Admit it. You passed on
Google at $85. You bought the
stock -- or at least thought very, very hard about it -- as it neared
$200, again as it passed $250, yet again as it broke above $300 and, defying even your more exuberant logic a mere six months before, when it shot above $400.
Along the way, you dabbled in
Yahoo! and maybe some other
Internet names like
eBay or
InterActiveCorp because it became clear that 2005 was the year at least a handful of these stocks got back
some of the magic they had in that late, great year of 1999.
Now that Google is actually in a position to break through $500 -- an
infinitely more unthinkable barrier than $400 was last summer -- research analysts are hustling out to lay down the barricades demarking reality
from fantasy. No, they insist, thou shalt not buy Google at $425. Thou
shalt smite Yahoo! if it rears its head above $40. There will be gnashing
of teeth if thou wert foolish enough to buy eBay at $47.But such warnings are only partly useful unless you know where to
put the money you just cashed out.
So where do you invest now? Although
speculative trading may have ignited a bout of mini-mania in the
Internet's biggest names, some investors say that has left the door open
for opportunities to pick up some of the less celebrated names in tech.
"The market still hasn't recovered for a lot of small and mid-sized
tech companies," says Alex Slusky, a managing partner at Vector Capital,
a buyout firm specializing in forgotten and sometimes distressed
Internet and software companies. "Growth is fleeting. High-growth
companies have a tendency to disappoint. I'd rather own Oracle at $12
than Google at $420."