Editor's Note: This article was originally published on Real Money at 6:53 a.m. EDT on May 7. To see Jim Cramer's latest commentary as it's published, sign up for a free trial of Real Money.NEW YORK ( Real Money) -- One minute you can't own enough drug stocks. The next minute you can't own any drug stocks. Same with the foods. But where to go? Do you go to the worst, knowing they can only get better? Or do you go to the good, knowing that they are good? I have been in this dilemma many times in my life, and I have always resolved it in a practical, but chicken, way: pick the worst that have already told you things are bad. That way you won't be shocked when they stay bad. Along these lines you can make a case for Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF - Get Report), Vale (VALE - Get Report) and Alcoa (AA - Get Report). Cliffs Natural and Vale are iron-ore plays, and nothing's more in glut in iron ore than aluminum, hence Alcoa. Here are three companies that are still being shorted, still being bet against with everyone writing them off. Vale, no matter what it does, is known as one of the absolute favorite hedge fund shorts because of its relationship with China. The shorts don't care about the yield, they think the dividend's a goner even if it was just declared. Alcoa? The rap here is that it needs to do an equity offering to satisfy the ratings agencies. No matter that it is closing expensive capacity in Europe and building cheap capacity here. The company's extremely well run, but it doesn't matter as long as aluminum is in glut. But take a look when it wasn't in 2007. You get a five-fold hit. Cliffs is the most difficult of all. First, its balance sheet is improved ever since it did what, in retrospect, was a brilliant deal offering stock at $29. Unfortunately, everyone who bought in on it was crushed, something I know I didn't see coming. Second, not that long afterward, a major brokerage said that Cliffs is about to fall victim to a major expansion of iron-ore sales in this country, which sounds suspiciously like what happened to the old Cleveland Cliffs when there was too much iron ore. So, it became a free-fire zoned.
Cramer: Tackling the Rotation Dilemma
May 07, 2013 | 11:07 AM EDT
Check Out Our Best Services for Investors
Portfolio Manager Jim Cramer and Director of Research Jack Mohr reveal their investment tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.
- $2.5+ million portfolio
- Large-cap and dividend focus
- Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.
- Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
- Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
- A custom stock screener
David Peltier uncovers low dollar stocks with serious upside potential that are flying under Wall Street's radar.
- Model portfolio
- Stocks trading below $10
- Intraday trade alerts
David Peltier identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.
Every recommendation goes through 3 layers of intense scrutinyquantitative, fundamental and technical analysisto maximize profit potential and minimize risk.
More than 30 investing pros with skin in the game give you actionable insight and investment ideas.