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Biotech Multiples Are Soaring But M&A Is Dead

 

NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- In the chart above, J.P. Morgan biotech analysts Geoff Meacham and Cory Kasimov make another argument for why the biotech bull market should continue to run higher. Price-to-earnings multiples for large-cap biotech are on the rise, but that's okay because so earnings growth is also accelerating.

The sector's P/E expansion that began in early 2012 has gone almost parabolic in 2013. Take a look at the near-vertical slope of that blue line, with P/Es for stocks like Celgene (CELG - Get Report) , Gilead Sciences (GILD - Get Report), Amgen (AMGN - Get Report) and Biogen Idec (BIIB - Get Report) approaching 20 and poised to move even higher into the second half of the year.

Is the biotech multiple expansion a concern? The J.P. Morgan team thinks not because the 2012-2015 compounded annual growth rate for biotech earnings is forecast to reach 18%. Right now, the projected 2015 P/E for large-cap biotech is 14-16x.

It may be hard to believe, but revenue and earnings expectations for this year are still on the low side. Check out the slide on the next page.
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SYM TRADE IT LAST %CHG
AMGN $155.89 0.00%
BIIB $303.69 0.00%
CELG $124.04 0.00%
GILD $107.78 0.00%
AAPL $113.29 0.00%

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