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TheStreet Open House

Dollar General and Family Dollar Are Right for These Times

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Foreboding headlines in my inbox grabbed my attention leading to tales telling us that the fourth quarter will be challenging for both investors and consumers.

A typical example was this chilling title We're Heading for Recession, Says Sam Zell".

The CEO of Equity Group Investments said in an CNBC interview that there's a "...compounding lack of confidence in the future has kept American companies from investing in their businesses and is leading the country back into recession".

No matter how scary the headlines -- one even suggested that restaurants are suddenly empty after a robust summer -- there are plenty of reasons to believe that the unemployed, underemployed and cash-strapped American consumer will be heading for the stores with the lowest prices.

That should be good for a company that will report fourth quarter results Wednesday and is expected to exceed last year's results. Family Dollar Stores (FDO) is no average bargain vendor.

The company offers its loyal customers an array of products including household chemicals, paper products, food products, health and beauty aids, hardware and automotive supplies.

They also carry pet food and supplies, textiles like blankets, sheets and towels. There's something for everybody, including housewares, giftware and home decor products.

They carry clothing for all ages, electronics, school supplies, toys and even prepaid cell phones and service plans. As of June 28, the company had about 7,200 stores in rural and urban settings across 45 states.

FDO is selling for a price-to-sales ratio of only 0.84, and they've made their shareholders happy with a 34% return on equity. They even pay a modest 84 cents per share dividend. Wednesday's earnings numbers and the details should show a continued steady amount of EPS growth. The company's third quarter showed a year-over-year growth rate of 12.1%. The chart below helps us see the story of how FDO's share price moved the same direction as their EPS growth. FDO ChartFDO data by YCharts

It's certainly not a perfect or even complete picture, so if you're thinking about becoming one of Family Dollar Stores' investors, you might want to see if enough other investors will "sell the news" before you start adding FDO shares to your stock portfolio.

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