Active Trader Update

360 Degrees of Homebuilders

08/23/06 - 12:07 PM EDT


Editor's note: In this edition of "360 Degrees," RealMoney commentators take a look at the homebuilding sector, prompted by the latest report from Toll BrothersTOL. The spotlight still burns on this sector, as Nick Yulico points out this morning with his coverage of today's existing home sales report.

TheStreet.com has always believed that offering a wide variety of opinions and viewpoints -- rather than a monolithic "house view" -- helps readers make better-informed investment decisions. In that spirit, we bring you "360 Degrees."

"360 Degrees" is a feature that takes advantage of the diverse stable of contributors to RealMoney, who offer analysis of stocks and the markets from all angles -- fundamental vs. technical, short-term trader vs. long-term investor.

Click on the following link for information about a free trial to RealMoney.


Still Not Time to Move Home, by Dan Fitzpatrick

This column was originally published on RealMoney Aug. 22 at 11:21 a.m. EDT.

This week, the market seems fixated on the housing numbers. Today we heard from Toll BrothersTOL. Tomorrow morning we get the July existing-home sales numbers. Yawn. Thursday brings the new-home sales numbers. Key point -- they're not going to be good. Everybody knows that. The question is whether they are going to be as bad as everyone expects.

When it comes to the homebuilding stocks, there are three camps -- and two of them are inhabited by bears. First is the aggressive ursine bunch who believe that these stocks are only resting on a cliff before moving much lower. Second are the more wary bears, who still don't like the sector but feel that it's a crowded short. Finally, there are the apologetic, tentative bulls anticipating a sustainable bottom. These are the folks who believe that all the bad news has already been factored into the sector.

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At the time of publication, Fitzpatrick had no positions in stocks mentioned, though positions may change at any time.

Fitzpatrick is a freelance writer and trading consultant who trades for his own account in Encinitas, Calif. He is a former co-manager of a hedge fund and teaches seminars on technical analysis, options trading and asset-protection strategies for traders and business owners. Fitzpatrick graduated from the McGeorge School of Law and was a fellow at the Pacific Legal Foundation, a nonprofit public interest firm specializing in constitutional law. He also practiced law in the private sector before pursuing trading as a full-time career. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. While Fitzpatrick cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

Howard L. Simons is president of Simons Research, a strategist for Bianco Research, a trading consultant and the author of The Dynamic Option Selection System. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities. While Simons cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Listen to Cramer's RealMoney Radio show on your computer; just click here. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" at 6 p.m. ET weeknights on CNBC. Click here to order Cramer's latest book, "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get his second book, "You Got Screwed!" and click here to order Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he invites you to send comments on his column by clicking here.

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