Financial Advisor Update

Why Gold Can't Be Stopped

Stock quotes in this article: GLD , IAU , GDX  


NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Tuesday gold surged to an all-time high of $1,079.70 per ounce. There are plenty of signs that suggest the precious metal will be able to sustain these levels.

As the U.S. government has opted to print massive amounts of money to revamp an economy severely impacted by the global recession, the result has been a falling dollar and fears of inflation. Both of these results don't seem to be going away anytime soon and will likely loom in the near future.

Additionally, the U.S. central bank is likely to keep interest rates at their current levels, putting further pressure on an already weak dollar, making it cheaper and more attractive to investors holding stronger currencies. In fact, the International Monetary Fund announced that the Reserve Bank of India recently purchased 200 metric tons of gold. In addition, China, which bought 403 metric tons in September, is expected to buy up a large sum of gold to add to its inventory.

From a microeconomic perspective, supply-and-demand pressures will likely cause gold prices to stay elevated. Supply of the precious metal is starting to be constrained, as Australia and South Africa, two of the three largest gold producers, have witnessed decreases in production, while demand is expected to elevate.

Lastly, gold remains attractive because it offers diversity, liquidity and safety from an asset class or specific sector that is underperforming.

Three equities that have benefited from the uptrend in gold:

  • The SPDR Gold Shares (GLD Quote), which is up 33% from its January low of $79.79 to close at $106.46 on Tuesday.

  • The iShares COMEX Gold Trust(IAU Quote), closing at $106.54 on Tuesday after a January low of $79.86; that's an increase of 33%.

  • The Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF(GDX Quote) up 64% from its January low of $28.20 to close at $46.18 on Tuesday.

When investing in gold, it is important to keep in mind the inherent risks and volatility that are involved. A good way to mitigate these is through the use of an exit strategy. According to the latest data from www.SmartStops.net, the price points at which the uptrend in previously mentioned ETFs could come to an end are GLD at $99.46; IAU at $99.54; and GDX at $43.12. These price points change on a daily basis as market conditions fluctuate. Updated data can be found at www.SmartStops.net.

Written By Kevin Grewal in Laguna Niguel, Calif.

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At the time this article was written, Grewal held no positions in the mentioned equities.

Kevin Grewal is an editorial director and analyst at SmartStops.net where he focuses on mitigating risks and implementing exit strategies to preserve equity. Prior to this, he was an analyst at a small hedge fund where he constructed portfolios dealing with stock lending, exchange-traded funds and alternative investments. He is an expert at dealing with ETFs and holds a bachelor's degree from the University of California along with a MBA from the California State University, Fullerton.

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Oil *
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